With apologies to Tombs: political content

Those wanting Brexit to be cancelled should hope May wins her confidence vote today. Then Labour will swing behind a second referendum which will become inevitable; the polls suggest a narrow remain win if that happens.

If May loses her confidence vote either Corbyn attempts to form a minority govt, which won't last; or there'll be an election, in which neither main party will promise a second referendum. Whoever wins it - and it's certainly not impossible or even that unlikely that's actually the Tories again, with a new leader and an actual majority this time - a new referendum and a cancellation of Brexit is much less likely.

Posted By: Old Man on January 16th 2019 at 06:56:41

Message Thread

With apologies to Tombs: political content (Betting) - Old Man, Jan 16, 06:56:41
- Looks like her 'cross party talks' will exclude Corbyn, one of the few people in Parliment (Betting) - megson, Jan 16, 09:37:26
  - Corbyn has positioned himself into irrelevance (Betting) - Ben, Jan 16, 13:34:26
  - They have all been very poor (Betting) - Jim, Jan 16, 09:40:28
    - This^^^^. Scrap the biggest scam ever, then have a GE with realigned parties (Betting) - Dunney, Jan 16, 09:49:30
    - Opposition oppose, that is their job. You can't blame the opposition for the failures (Betting) - megson, Jan 16, 09:48:16
      - had Lab opposed A50 then the election would've been easily won by the tories (Betting) - Worzel Scrimmage, Jan 16, 15:14:59
        
        How so? Labour got a lot of Remain votes in the GE. (Betting) - megson, Jan 16, 15:28:22
      - It is not their job to oppose the withdrawal agreement for the sake of it (Betting) - Jim, Jan 16, 11:55:37
- If they sort the Irish backstop then this deal will get voted through (Betting) - Jim, Jan 16, 09:19:01
  - backstop is integral to the deal (Betting) - CWC, Jan 16, 13:55:50
    - I don;t disagree - If they just gave themselves time to sort out (Betting) - Jim, Jan 16, 14:14:38
      - obvious solution, which could have been implemented 2 years ago (Betting) - CWC, Jan 16, 15:24:28
  - So fuck the Irish, then? Not now, but later, having got our deal. (Betting) - Dunney, Jan 16, 09:55:33
  - nope. the backstop might be what stopped many from voting it through - but there's plenty (Betting) - Ralf Scrampton, Jan 16, 09:30:49
    - The Good Friday agreement will remain in place whatever is agreed (Betting) - Jim, Jan 16, 09:35:57
      - Yoir para 1 is an incorrect assumption (Betting) - CWC, Jan 16, 14:00:12
        
        That's not exactly what it says though (n/m) (Betting) - Jim, Jan 16, 14:13:40
        
        well no (Betting) - CWC, Jan 16, 15:31:29
      - oh well then - if Jim from The Wrath says it'll be ok, then fuck all the experts... (Betting) - Ralf Scrampton, Jan 16, 09:56:36
        
        You do get really pissy sometimes don't you Ralf! (Betting) - Men without hats, Jan 16, 10:02:57
        
        I watched a video about roofing on YouTube, therefore I know more about it than you do (Betting) - Ralf Scrampton, Jan 16, 10:34:22
        
        You won't find any experts saying leave is better (Betting) - Dunney, Jan 16, 10:17:42
        
        Not true. There are good reasons for leaving the EU. We just never hear them (Betting) - Higher Wrather, Jan 16, 10:30:41
        
        Can you give one known, not wishlist or maybe, benefit (Betting) - Dunney, Jan 16, 11:10:10
- Polls suggested a remain win first time round too (n/m) (Betting) - jAC, Jan 16, 08:11:46
  - What was no deal or May’s deal? (n/m) (Betting) - SCC 28, Jan 16, 13:46:01
  - Exactly. Polls unreliable. Especially if they predict a 'narrow' difference. (n/m) (Betting) - pab, Jan 16, 08:20:22
- May wins, early ge loses,ref2 loses, alternative voted down. Hard brexit. (n/m) (Betting) - Basingstoke_Canary_J, Jan 16, 07:58:45
  - Hahaha. (n/m) (Betting) - Dunney, Jan 16, 09:42:04
  - Not a chance. (n/m) (Betting) - norway, Jan 16, 08:26:46
    - Sadly I can see that happening (n/m) (Betting) - Steve in Holland, Jan 16, 09:18:07
  - no hard brexit (Betting) - CWC, Jan 16, 08:14:31
    - Can’t see them revoking (n/m) (Betting) - Steve in Holland, Jan 16, 09:18:25
    - What will be interesting this year are the European elections. (Betting) - Men without hats, Jan 16, 08:55:17
- Also suits labour to lose it (Betting) - CWC, Jan 16, 07:11:41
  - the leave vote faced the same uphill struggle last time (Betting) - Ralf Scrampton, Jan 16, 08:09:07
    - Bloody bots come over here rigging our voting system. (n/m) (Betting) - Men without hats, Jan 16, 08:56:51
  - I can’t see any outcome that won’t leave both parties ripped in two (Betting) - SimonOTBC, Jan 16, 07:58:31

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