The markets mostly use public information
They got it wildly wrong on Election night for the number of reform seats based on the exit poll.
FWIW I’m a big proponent of the markets power of prediction so I pretty much agree with what you are saying. Newsome will be loyal to Biden until he decides not to run.
Harris is not popular.
It’s all a bit strange if you are looking at just fundamentals.
That doesn’t matter anymore.
Posted By: usacanary on July 12th 2024 at 10:54:23
Message Thread
- Biden says if the polls show he has no chance he'll step down (General Chat) - Old Man, Jul 12, 09:28:49
- Where the real world decisions are made.... (General Chat) - usacanary, Jul 12, 15:09:22
- the political betting markets are often wrong... (General Chat) - KevinBond, Jul 12, 11:34:47
- Are they though? (General Chat) - Old Man, Jul 12, 12:32:05
- Polling suffers from sample sizes. (General Chat) - usacanary, Jul 12, 15:54:10
- The betting markets are a profitable businesa (General Chat) - Cardiff Canary, Jul 12, 11:49:29
- Sorry this just totally wrong.... (General Chat) - usacanary, Jul 12, 16:03:09
- Al markets get it ‘wrong’ (General Chat) - SCC 28, Jul 12, 11:36:44
- Are they though? (General Chat) - Old Man, Jul 12, 12:32:05
- He looks like what he is - a doddery old man. Can’t believe the democrats can’t see that. (General Chat) - Under soil heating, Jul 12, 11:18:55
- This was satire in the 90's now not so much (General Chat) - KevinBond, Jul 12, 14:51:42
- There in an almost impossible position (General Chat) - norwaay, Jul 12, 11:28:24
- he wasn't the "best candidate in 2020" though, Obama and the dems got scared because (General Chat) - Cable Gap Pioneer, Jul 12, 14:44:20
- I take your point (General Chat) - norwaay, Jul 12, 14:55:29
- The mistake was keeping Harris on the ticket (General Chat) - CWC, Jul 12, 14:04:35
- *They're* (n/m) (General Chat) - norwaay, Jul 12, 11:29:03
- he wasn't the "best candidate in 2020" though, Obama and the dems got scared because (General Chat) - Cable Gap Pioneer, Jul 12, 14:44:20
- The markets mostly use public information (General Chat) - usacanary, Jul 12, 10:54:23
- Give him a bag of Werthers Originals and politely tell him to fuck off (n/m) (General Chat) - MonkeyPuzzle, Jul 12, 10:23:21
- Makes sense markets correct themselves after declarations (General Chat) - SCC 28, Jul 12, 09:38:04
- To what extent are ai_algorythms going to effect odds makers, (General Chat) - protheroe fitzgibbon, Jul 12, 10:22:57
- Person has ffs. (n/m) (General Chat) - protheroe fitzgibbon, Jul 12, 10:23:23
- Yeah it didn't do so well that time around in fairness (n/m) (General Chat) - Old Man, Jul 12, 09:56:31
- Expecting trump to win (General Chat) - SCC 28, Jul 12, 10:01:12
- To what extent are ai_algorythms going to effect odds makers, (General Chat) - protheroe fitzgibbon, Jul 12, 10:22:57
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