18% is just a more elegant way of expressing

1 in 5.55555 chance of getting in playoffs .

Posted By: Pam Demic on February 21st 2024 at 11:30:05

Message Thread

with 13 games to go the reality of our chances of making the top 6 (NCFC) - ghostof barry butler, Feb 21, 10:02:05
- Odds on top 6 finish (NCFC) - CityJack, Feb 21, 19:48:29
  - You do understand how a bookie works? (NCFC) - usacanary, Feb 21, 21:35:58
    - Thanks for your insight (NCFC) - CityJack, Feb 21, 22:22:06
- Hull v WBA on Saturday and they can't both get three points (n/m) (NCFC) - MonkeyPuzzle, Feb 21, 11:04:20
- We’ve also been considerably out scoring our xG (NCFC) - SCC 28, Feb 21, 10:48:44
  - all teams at the top do.......stupid stat. (n/m) (NCFC) - usacanary, Feb 21, 14:52:25
    - Disappointing that we’re 8th then (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Feb 21, 16:36:31
  - Meant to be a reply down there (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Feb 21, 10:49:28
- generally (I think) they have worse run ins - and play each other more (NCFC) - paulg, Feb 21, 10:44:33
  - Extra away game not ideal however (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Feb 21, 10:50:05
    - it's almost as if it's very unpredictable indeed! (NCFC) - paulg, Feb 21, 10:57:30
      - We’ve got a small chance - 18% for me (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Feb 21, 11:00:05
        
        19% for me (n/m) (NCFC) - Massive_Tiny, Feb 21, 12:52:11
        
        I don't understand the use of %'s in this context (NCFC) - paulg, Feb 21, 11:17:56
        
        18% is just a more elegant way of expressing (NCFC) - Pam Demic, Feb 21, 11:30:05
        
        Everything has a % (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Feb 21, 11:20:12
        
        it may be that everything is predestined, simply unfolding since the Big Bang (NCFC) - paulg, Feb 21, 11:29:18
        
        If you look in the box...the cat gets it... just saying. (n/m) (NCFC) - promethian1, Feb 21, 14:29:12
        
        WHATEVER YOU DO, DON'T LOOK IN THE DAMN BOX! (n/m) (NCFC) - paulg, Feb 21, 16:12:01
        
        I'd love to know what an actuary would say.... (NCFC) - Pam Demic, Feb 21, 11:17:25
- The problem is the number of teams in the mix (NCFC) - SimonOTBC, Feb 21, 10:37:42
  - yes that is the problem at the moment (NCFC) - ghostof barry butler, Feb 21, 10:44:14
  - Yep, we are 18th in the league on away form (NCFC) - jamesward, Feb 21, 10:40:54
    - with regard to away form ... (NCFC) - ghostof barry butler, Feb 21, 10:45:54
      - We’ve got to go for it at Blackburn (NCFC) - SimonOTBC, Feb 21, 10:47:09
        
        Especially considering our tendency to make defensive mistakes. (NCFC) - protheroe fitzgibbon, Feb 21, 12:24:16
        
        That’s what I think too proth (n/m) (NCFC) - SimonOTBC, Feb 21, 13:40:10
        
        Cov, Hull and WBA all playing before us (NCFC) - SCC 28, Feb 21, 10:54:07
        
        When was the last time we didn't play with the handbrake on away from home? (NCFC) - jamesward, Feb 21, 10:51:56
        
        Plymouth, arguably? (n/m) (NCFC) - SimonOTBC, Feb 21, 11:00:26
        
        All our brakes failed that day (n/m) (NCFC) - jamesward, Feb 21, 11:01:52
        
        Vmt (NCFC) - SimonOTBC, Feb 21, 11:04:45
        
        Playing with the handbrake on (NCFC) - Pam Demic, Feb 21, 10:51:46
        
        It was clear in the game at home to Watford, as well as most away games… (NCFC) - SimonOTBC, Feb 21, 11:03:19
        
        Thats what is so puzzling about Wagner's tactics (NCFC) - Pam Demic, Feb 21, 11:15:40
- On current form we'd miss out (NCFC) - Ben, Feb 21, 10:18:59
  - Counter point......... (NCFC) - usacanary, Feb 21, 14:49:55
  - If we carry on scoring as we are at the moment there will be no stopping us (NCFC) - MonkeyPuzzle, Feb 21, 11:10:09
    - We could win every game 100-0 (NCFC) - SCC 28, Feb 21, 11:57:24
      - What would be the percentage chance of us not being in the playoffs if we won all our (NCFC) - Ken Dodds Dads Dog, Feb 21, 12:14:40
        
        The stupidity of SCC..... (n/m) (NCFC) - usacanary, Feb 21, 14:51:20
        
        0.00000000001% (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Feb 21, 14:04:20
        
        Lump on (n/m) (NCFC) - Ken Dodds Dads Dog, Feb 21, 14:12:14
      - The only ones of our playoff rivals we have still to play (NCFC) - Pam Demic, Feb 21, 12:08:24
- That run of defeats was just catastrophic for us,we (NCFC) - protheroe fitzgibbon, Feb 21, 10:14:17
  - All the lower playoff teams have had bad runs...... (NCFC) - usacanary, Feb 21, 14:55:30
  - Well all it proves PF, (NCFC) - Pam Demic, Feb 21, 10:22:50
    - It's the same every season (NCFC) - jamesward, Feb 21, 10:27:24
      - if david wagner is here or not next season i think that would be a better platform to get (NCFC) - Tombs, Feb 21, 11:17:11
        
        A lot of good stuff in what you say there, Tombs (NCFC) - Pam Demic, Feb 21, 11:56:04
        
        VMT. Although nice to have something still to play for at the end of the season (NCFC) - Ken Dodds Dads Dog, Feb 21, 11:50:13
      - That may all be true... (NCFC) - Pam Demic, Feb 21, 10:45:46
        
        Neither are Leicester or Leeds tbf (NCFC) - jamesward, Feb 21, 10:52:35
        
        That was last season, and a lot has changed (NCFC) - Pam Demic, Feb 21, 11:27:10
        
        It's almost as if it's all pointless (n/m) (NCFC) - jamesward, Feb 21, 11:53:35
- Hull did a job on us in the Jan window (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Feb 21, 10:09:41
  - Sainz coming in and Sarge returning are like new signings really. (n/m) (NCFC) - protheroe fitzgibbon, Feb 21, 10:18:28
- Our ghoul difference could truly make a difference in the end. (n/m) (NCFC) - DrDublin, Feb 21, 10:05:18

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