re: investing

I trade equities, commodities sometimes bonds and crypto for a living. Personally I believe things are a bit frothy right now in most markets which is not surprising given the inflationary environment. Markets trend up with time for sure but right now leverage is high and volume is decreasing, so by the principles of auction market theory we are due for a huge shakeout soon and a return to fairer values, and that would be a much lower risk time to buy.

You can see here the SPX adjusted for money supply is at resistance well above the rally-adjusted volume weighted average price and is now trading at a higher money supply adjusted price than the 2007 bull market top. RISKY!

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Bonds and gold are usually inversely related to equities so they are due for a run soon, but when they run they are not usually particularly high growth.

If you wanted to be really hands off I would take notice of the fear and greed indicators and buy world indexes during times of fear. They are typically made of consistent performers with inversely correlated hedges weighted in.

Posted By: oli470, Nov 17, 20:42:27