follow up advice.

I should have added that playing the moneylines is not the largest edge you can gain from the PHI/DAL matchup.

The first half spread has a huge edge because teams are tied a decent amount of the time.

Currently several books have DAL +0.5 -110 for the first half.
If PHI are eliminated you will be able to get PHI +0.5 -110 or better.
It might even go to PHI +1.5 -110 for the first half.

If the half is tied or DAL wins it by 1 point you win both bets.
At worst you lose the juice on one 1 bet.

You will have to take my word that the mathematical probability of the first half being tied or DAL winning by 1 more than overcomes the vig/juice you will lose on one side.

Posted By: usacanary on December 27th 2008 at 19:26:41

Message Thread

If Lita signed permanently... would you be happy with that? (n/m) (NCFC) - usacanary, Dec 27, 18:07:20
- as long as his wages wern't hooge (n/m) (NCFC) - strap_on sally, Dec 27, 18:28:39
  - why would you care about his wages? (n/m) (NCFC) - Charles21, Dec 27, 18:31:22
    - I think going forward.................... (NCFC) - usacanary, Dec 27, 18:39:48
      - i completely agree (NCFC) - Worzel Scrimmage, Dec 27, 18:53:29
      - footy should be like nfl (NCFC) - SCC 28, Dec 27, 18:45:20
        
        Talking of which...... week 17 in the NFL is free money week. (NCFC) - usacanary, Dec 27, 18:58:33
        
        great, some tips please (n/m) (NCFC) - Charles21, Dec 27, 19:03:52
        
        see the post "yes" (n/m) (NCFC) - usacanary, Dec 27, 19:18:35
        
        hmmm well detroit are very bad (NCFC) - SCC 28, Dec 27, 19:02:35
        
        Yes. (NCFC) - usacanary, Dec 27, 19:16:19
        
        follow up advice. (NCFC) - usacanary, Dec 27, 19:26:41
        
        ok (NCFC) - SCC 28, Dec 27, 19:30:38
        
        Every thing is easy............. (NCFC) - usacanary, Dec 27, 19:34:44
        
        well it's good to have a sort of system (NCFC) - SCC 28, Dec 27, 19:35:45
        
        System (NCFC) - usacanary, Dec 27, 19:51:52
        
        well any predicitive model is basically a system imo (NCFC) - SCC 28, Dec 27, 19:57:04
        
        hmmmm (NCFC) - SCC 28, Dec 27, 19:22:07
        
        well dallas around 2.1 (NCFC) - SCC 28, Dec 27, 19:25:18
        
        what you are missing............ (NCFC) - usacanary, Dec 27, 19:30:47
        
        yes i'm aware of that (NCFC) - SCC 28, Dec 27, 19:33:05
        
        LOL (NCFC) - usacanary, Dec 27, 19:37:39
        
        no idea tbh (NCFC) - SCC 28, Dec 27, 19:39:56
        
        see "follow up advice" (n/m) (NCFC) - usacanary, Dec 27, 19:28:18
        
        I guess that why I do this for a living. (n/m) (NCFC) - usacanary, Dec 27, 19:27:24
        
        sure is, you've lost me completely (NCFC) - Charles21, Dec 27, 19:33:14
        
        not exactly an idiots guide lol (NCFC) - SCC 28, Dec 27, 19:34:49
        
        FWIW I played at the WSOP the last 2 years. (NCFC) - usacanary, Dec 27, 19:40:36
        
        yeah i remember you mentioning the WSOP (NCFC) - SCC 28, Dec 27, 19:45:11
        
        PLO is the worst tournament game ever. (NCFC) - usacanary, Dec 27, 19:56:58
        
        yeah i meant more plo as cash games really (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Dec 27, 19:57:57
        
        Impossible though (n/m) (NCFC) - Charles21, Dec 27, 18:58:24
        
        The talk is the cap should be based on............. (NCFC) - usacanary, Dec 27, 18:59:44
    - indeed some local businessman (NCFC) - SCC 28, Dec 27, 18:38:49
      - I have a feeling.............. (NCFC) - usacanary, Dec 27, 18:46:15
        
        the problem with that is (NCFC) - SCC 28, Dec 27, 18:48:30
- If that happened then I'd wouldn't worry about relegation at all (NCFC) - pants, Dec 27, 18:09:53
  - not sure where the money for next season (NCFC) - SCC 28, Dec 27, 18:11:46
- not sure anyone wouldn't be (NCFC) - SCC 28, Dec 27, 18:09:16

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