Polls.....

I hate politics but I have mentioned this before.

I think this kind of data is interesting

User Posted Link

Also worth considering.

User Posted Link

There are probably loads of people on here who will vote Tory but they hate to speak up because of all the abuse they get.

If you looked at the last election on here you would have thought Corbyn would win in a landslide.
(lost the popular vote by almost 4 million votes)

FWIW I do think this time is different.
Labour did exactly what the needed to do.
As I suggested after the 2019 defeat they slowly became like Blairs "New Labour" to appeal to the centrists and swing votes that influence all elections.

My prediction is Labour wins but the majority wont be as big as the current polls tell us.

Posted By: usacanary on May 29th 2024 at 14:01:54

Message Thread

One week in and the polls have changed not a jot (General Chat) - Old Man, May 29, 11:27:54
- Polls..... (General Chat) - usacanary, May 29, 14:01:54
  - If Reform weren't on the scene then it'd be closer (General Chat) - CWC, May 29, 14:49:07
  - Absolutely no-one thought Corbyn would win in a landslide in 2019. (General Chat) - norwaay, May 29, 14:29:04
    - "on here" (General Chat) - usacanary, May 29, 14:42:14
      - No they didn't "on here". (General Chat) - norwaay, May 29, 14:47:59
        
        The jist is that the vocal people on this forum did not represent the general electorate. (General Chat) - usacanary, May 29, 14:57:13
        
        I don't know what you mean by 'vocal people' (General Chat) - norwaay, May 29, 15:06:03
        
        My main takeaway from this thread (General Chat) - jamesward, May 29, 15:34:47
        
        I need new haterz. The old ones are boring. (n/m) (General Chat) - usacanary, May 29, 15:44:09
        
        You know that calling people your 'jelly haterz' is a pretty basic ad hominem right? (General Chat) - Knitted Jesus, May 29, 15:55:04
        
        Idiot test...... (General Chat) - usacanary, May 29, 16:24:13
        
        Smelly (n/m) (General Chat) - Knitted Jesus, May 29, 16:25:06
        
        Good job..... (General Chat) - usacanary, May 29, 16:55:49
        
        This never get boring. (n/m) (General Chat) - tudders, May 29, 17:55:01
        
        its "getz" (General Chat) - usacanary, May 29, 18:02:46
  - broadly agree it won’t be the great landslide, but (General Chat) - Tressells Broadbrush, May 29, 14:24:29
- JLP poll had the gap down to 12%. (General Chat) - Snakepit Divorcee, May 29, 13:35:59
- Without getting all picky, the fieldwork for the latest polls will have been done before (General Chat) - Yellalee, May 29, 11:51:51
  - You're mostly right, the very latest ones had post-announcement fieldwork though (General Chat) - Old Man, May 29, 12:44:49
    - (but you're right the impact of last week's "campaigning" won't be in the numbers yet) (n/m) (General Chat) - Old Man, May 29, 12:45:23
- What? We still have Rishi gets a tattoo day; Rishi goes skateboarding day; (General Chat) - Pixelman, May 29, 11:47:19
  - I'm most loving (General Chat) - paulg, May 29, 14:58:02
  - Rishi gets his first working class friend day (n/m) (General Chat) - footymadman, May 29, 13:06:31
    - Steady on.... (n/m) (General Chat) - CWC, May 29, 13:10:40

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