and TBF and balanced.....

we played terrible earlier in the season vs some average teams with a lot of the same players.

Can we adjust for players coming back such as Sarge, yes clearly but do we also adjust for losing Rowe and other players to injury at the moment? Clearly also yes.

There is a great book by Nassim Taleb that is a must read for those looking to invest money.

User Posted Link

Posted By: usacanary on March 5th 2024 at 18:33:58

Message Thread

xpected Points (Other Football) - Henclrikus, Mar 5, 13:04:01
- And if my uncle had breasts he'd be my aunt (Other Football) - inutero, Mar 5, 15:47:59
  - TRANSPHOBE (n/m) (Other Football) - Old Git, Mar 5, 22:08:27
  - DM me. I have some news re your uncle. (n/m) (Other Football) - MonkeyPuzzle, Mar 5, 16:45:03
  - but only if his last ten visits to the clinic had gone well? (n/m) (Other Football) - Henclrikus, Mar 5, 15:52:30
    - Expect Fun Bag Ratio 9.5 (n/m) (Other Football) - inutero, Mar 5, 16:04:44
- This data obsession is tiresome. (n/m) (Other Football) - MonkeyPuzzle, Mar 5, 15:40:08
  - The number of data-related posts has steadily increased, showing a CAGR of 23.7% (Other Football) - Old Man, Mar 5, 15:46:22
    - ha ha (Other Football) - shoddy, Mar 5, 18:16:15
    - Interesting (n/m) (Other Football) - SCC 28, Mar 5, 15:52:23
      - First against the wall is 'Stat Man Dave' (n/m) (Other Football) - MonkeyPuzzle, Mar 5, 16:46:09
- What about based on Wagner’s last 10 games (Other Football) - SCC 28, Mar 5, 15:26:23
  - LOLz you mean the 10 games before he got sacked/left every time (Other Football) - usacanary, Mar 5, 17:17:03
    - Nope never got sacked or left after an end of season (Other Football) - SCC 28, Mar 5, 17:30:56
      - I said "left" in the header of the post above...... (Other Football) - usacanary, Mar 5, 17:38:44
        
        Erm nobody is arguing about that (Other Football) - SCC 28, Mar 5, 17:42:21
        
        Thats why I asked the question.... (Other Football) - usacanary, Mar 5, 17:49:10
        
        And then I pointed out no, the final 10 games (Other Football) - SCC 28, Mar 5, 17:52:13
- Cherry picking small sections of a season is a bit silly..... (Other Football) - usacanary, Mar 5, 14:02:52
  - Lolz. I remember you making some catastrophic predictions based on past trends (Other Football) - Knitted Jesus, Mar 5, 15:45:59
    - Please post an example or STFU (Other Football) - usacanary, Mar 5, 17:05:53
      - What you mean like this absolute nonsense? (Other Football) - Knitted Jesus, Mar 5, 17:25:05
        
        Not a small sample tbf (n/m) (Other Football) - SCC 28, Mar 5, 17:34:19
        
        You are an idiot. Plain and simple (Other Football) - usacanary, Mar 5, 17:34:04
        
        Absolute scenes. (Other Football) - Knitted Jesus, Mar 5, 17:39:13
        
        Yep, you are an idiot and don't even know it. (Other Football) - usacanary, Mar 5, 17:46:57
        
        I know that some predictions are better than others (Other Football) - Knitted Jesus, Mar 5, 18:52:35
        
        You just did a word salad that makes no sense..... (Other Football) - usacanary, Mar 5, 18:59:01
        
        TLDR: You are shit at predictions (n/m) (Other Football) - Knitted Jesus, Mar 5, 20:17:12
        
        Sorry too burst your bubble but I became rich off my predictions.... (Other Football) - usacanary, Mar 5, 21:02:07
        
        Live footage of USAC on his latest cruise (Other Football) - Knitted Jesus, Mar 5, 21:35:26
        
        In fairness (Other Football) - SCC 28, Mar 5, 17:56:06
        
        That wasnt a mathematical prediction, that was an opinion..... (Other Football) - usacanary, Mar 5, 18:02:34
        
        A really shit opinion? (n/m) (Other Football) - SCC 28, Mar 5, 18:03:48
        
        TBF you are the expert on shit opinions so I will take your word for it. (n/m) (Other Football) - usacanary, Mar 5, 18:05:10
  - It isn't just based on recent 10-game form. Dimwit. (Other Football) - Henclrikus, Mar 5, 15:12:11
    - "Based on form over the last ten lge games" (Other Football) - usacanary, Mar 5, 17:05:10
      - over a 35 game period (Other Football) - Henclrikus, Mar 5, 21:10:27
      - first (Other Football) - Cable Gap Pioneer, Mar 5, 17:33:25
        
        What is genius is getting my haterz to say my catch phrases... (Other Football) - usacanary, Mar 5, 17:58:32
        
        second (n/m) (Other Football) - Cable Gap Pioneer, Mar 5, 18:06:44
        
        Thank you for playing MY game..... (Other Football) - usacanary, Mar 5, 18:10:22
        
        third (Other Football) - Cable Gap Pioneer, Mar 5, 18:25:27
        
        it is..... (Other Football) - usacanary, Mar 5, 18:35:13
        
        Fourth (Other Football) - Cable Gap Pioneer, Mar 5, 18:37:54
        
        really, got you obsessed and playing MY game....... (Other Football) - usacanary, Mar 5, 18:43:38
        
        5th (Other Football) - Cable Gap Pioneer, Mar 5, 18:45:39
      - 6 home, 4 away also significant (Other Football) - SCC 28, Mar 5, 17:23:05
        
        exactly, thats my point. (Other Football) - usacanary, Mar 5, 17:24:07
        
        An even sample split (n/m) (Other Football) - SCC 28, Mar 5, 17:35:19
        
        50/50 better (n/m) (Other Football) - SCC 28, Mar 5, 17:35:31
        
        how do you get 50/50 over 35 games? (Other Football) - usacanary, Mar 5, 17:40:02
        
        I said EVEN sample (Other Football) - SCC 28, Mar 5, 17:59:58
        
        I said 35 games..... Math is hard..... (n/m) (Other Football) - usacanary, Mar 5, 18:03:38
        
        Take your meds (n/m) (Other Football) - SCC 28, Mar 5, 18:04:37
        
        Oh dear.,... Owned again.....Back to dipping the fries Mikey.... (n/m) (Other Football) - usacanary, Mar 5, 18:05:58
    - You could argue current form is more relevant than (Other Football) - jamesward, Mar 5, 15:12:55
      - You could argue that. (Other Football) - usacanary, Mar 5, 17:13:27
        
        We did have some very tough games in our good recent run though (Other Football) - jamesward, Mar 5, 17:27:05
        
        and TBF and balanced..... (Other Football) - usacanary, Mar 5, 18:33:58
  - Thanks guy (n/m) (Other Football) - Chair_of_the_Bored, Mar 5, 14:09:07
- Ipswich have been brilliant (Other Football) - ParrotPuncher, Mar 5, 13:27:06
  - It'll be fun watching Ipswich get thrashed every week next season, if they do go up (n/m) (Other Football) - Massive_Tiny, Mar 5, 16:52:43
  - They “deserve” to go up if they finish top 2 (Other Football) - SimonOTBC, Mar 5, 15:04:43
    - That's not really true is it? (Other Football) - Knitted Jesus, Mar 5, 16:44:32
      - The concept of Desert is linked to Jelly Haterz.... (n/m) (Other Football) - usacanary, Mar 5, 17:18:34

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