This model of theirs

If they put in the data from other countries a few weeks ago and run it forward, does it predict what's actually happened, both in places where they've got infections falling now and places where they haven't?

I don't suppose we will ever find out.

Posted By: Yurik Hunt on March 13th 2020 at 11:58:07

Message Thread

I'm still more concerned about the herd immunity theory tbh (n/m) (General Chat) - duke of york, Mar 13, 11:49:20
- "the disease would need to infect approximately half of the UK population until we achieve (General Chat) - Ralf Scrampton, Mar 13, 12:07:54
  - But they expect up to 80% of our population to get it.they've accepted the disease is h (General Chat) - protheroe fitzgibbon, Mar 13, 12:21:23
  - that maths seems a bit simplistic (General Chat) - Mecagoenti, Mar 13, 12:13:54
    - "While more vulnerable people are cut off as much as possible." (General Chat) - Ralf Scrampton, Mar 13, 12:20:51
      - I don't know - I'm not commenting on the political aspect (General Chat) - Mecagoenti, Mar 13, 12:24:14
        
        given the large amount of unknowns at this point - including whether you get immunity havi (General Chat) - Ralf Scrampton, Mar 13, 12:31:42
        
        agreed, it doesn't seem the right strategy to me either at the moment (General Chat) - Mecagoenti, Mar 13, 12:51:56
    - In practice, it’s very hard to totally isolate old / ill people (n/m) (General Chat) - duke of york, Mar 13, 12:15:15
      - yeah, it would be almost impossible for many (General Chat) - Mecagoenti, Mar 13, 12:20:37
        
        Yeah, it's just not gonna happen is it? (General Chat) - duke of york, Mar 13, 12:35:32
  - Indeed. Very worrying (n/m) (General Chat) - duke of york, Mar 13, 12:13:00
- Yeah it seems all other experts think it’s bollocks (General Chat) - SCC 28, Mar 13, 11:53:00
  - And Cummings *is* interested in eugenics as we know (n/m) (General Chat) - duke of york, Mar 13, 11:53:55
    - Cummings invented COVID in the same lab (General Chat) - KevinBond, Mar 13, 12:24:54
      - Hence the name - originally "govid" but the guy who made it caught it (General Chat) - Yurik Hunt, Mar 13, 12:33:40
        
        lol (n/m) (General Chat) - duke of york, Mar 13, 12:35:46
    - Corbyn has probably sided with the virus (General Chat) - Ben, Mar 13, 11:58:44
      - ^^^ not a 'thing' capable of transcending political rivalries (n/m) (General Chat) - Ralf Scrampton, Mar 13, 12:10:14
        
        ^^ I'm sorry, lets get back to comparing the Tories to Nazis (n/m) (General Chat) - Ben, Mar 13, 15:58:46
      - Interesting that the Daily Mail is not practicing what it or bj is preaching (General Chat) - Dracula, Mar 13, 12:08:55
      - And there it is! (n/m) (General Chat) - Winged Eel Creosote, Mar 13, 12:06:36
      - Probably (n/m) (General Chat) - duke of york, Mar 13, 11:59:10
    - The only thing in their favour (General Chat) - SCC 28, Mar 13, 11:56:38
      - This model of theirs (General Chat) - Yurik Hunt, Mar 13, 11:58:07
        
        No transparency whatsoever (n/m) (General Chat) - SCC 28, Mar 13, 11:59:47
- What’s the alternative? How do we stop everyone from getting this? (n/m) (General Chat) - essexcanaryOTBC, Mar 13, 11:51:14
  - Not everyone but you limit with extreme measures (General Chat) - SCC 28, Mar 13, 11:54:04
    - Agree. But humans who have antibodies before the vaccine is available makes some sense to (General Chat) - essexcanaryOTBC, Mar 13, 11:55:01
    - South Korea for eg, rate falling rapidly (n/m) (General Chat) - duke of york, Mar 13, 11:54:40
- Thinning the herd... (n/m) (General Chat) - protheroe fitzgibbon, Mar 13, 11:49:56

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