You arn't very good at this

On one hand the NFL market is hard to beat and now its about picking out the good ones.

OK, let do the math.

Lest say you were an incredible handicapper who could spot value in the NFL when you bet +800 dogs.

lets say you had a 5% long term edge, which BTW would be incredible against this market

That only changes the winning probability of the +800 dog from 11.11% to 15.5%

Do you now see WHY PHI only had roughly a 8% chance to make the playoff, (+/- 1 or 2%)

Posted By: usacanary, Jan 11, 21:57:37