As a neutral observer just looking at the data.

It's clear that in polling the reform party are chopping up almost 50% of the conservative vote.

These are people who would probably never vote Labour.
Come election day if it looks like reform is just a meaningless spoiler vote I could see tactical voting for conservatives in swing districts.
It's looking like Labour will probably win but it will be much closer than this landslide prediction.

Posted By: usacanary, May 31, 13:05:05