Another thing PPG of games played is less important when....

you are further down the table.

As an example. Norwich will be favs for most games so their PPG estimation for the last 11 games doesnt change too much.
But with teams lower down, the PPG varies hugely depending on WHO and WHERE they are playing.

As an example I would say Barnsley are big favs to make the playoffs because the strength of opposition for the last 10 games.
They have by far the easiest run in with Boro the only tricky one on paper and they play us on the Last day, when we could have been on the razzle for the past two weeks and we cant get the Mayor out of the bar!
They even have a real outside shot at the top two, its unlikely but I think they are a lock for the playoffs unless they fall off a cliff.

Posted By: usacanary, Mar 13, 18:17:34