This. You can't extrapolate from densely-populated NYC to sparsely-populated rest-of-US

and as you say really we need mortality stats from the same areas of NYC that the sampling was done in. Even then the figures won't take people entering/leaving said areas into account but it's not clear how you could do better, with a relatively small sample.

Some places are starting to change their lockdowns and what happens next in those places will educate us all, I think.

Posted By: Old Man, Apr 24, 09:52:14