we seem to be stuck between 2 strategies

lockdown + testing (but without actually doing the testing bit properly), and

Swedish/Danish laissez faire/voluntary isolation

or at least, we went ineffectively from one to the other.

so at the moment we seem to be heading for economic (and therefore human/political) disaster, but without necessarily getting on top of the virus. Instinctively, I tend to think that prolonging the lockdown will have far worse effects that not doing so (though over a different period, in respect of different groups) - but lifting it without proper testing is politically very difficult indeed.

so all in all, it's not v pretty.

Posted By: paulg, Apr 3, 10:39:06