That's what it said in the report....

Along those lines anyway. I think what it means is that, before the game has been played, their computer calculates the percentage chance of Norwich winning, based on various factors (strength of team and opposition etc) and basically, if we have a greater than 50% chance of winning, I think we are 'expected' to win. So basically, when their computer says we are expected to win, we usually do, more times than other team in the football league. But it works the other way as well. When we play a good team, and we are not expected to win (i.e. we have a win chance of about 25% or less) we tend to always lose.

It's just a bunch of university statisticians number crunching on behalf of the Times Newspaper. Just thought it was quite an interesting thing to find.

Posted By: Poirot, Mar 18, 18:55:20