Did a few Monte Carlo simulations.
Most were in the 76-78 point range
78 points is a 90%+ confidence level.
So we need 27 points from 13 games or over 2 points a game.
Only Brighton and Newcastle have averaged that this season over 32 games.
8 wins 3 draws and 2 losses works.
Personally I think its too much of an ask.
I have us finishing on 72-73 points, just outside the playoffs.
Posted By: usacanary, Feb 23, 17:53:16
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