the reveal does make a difference though

my odds are no longer 1/3 they are 1/2. It deosn't matter what the odds were when there were three possibilities, there are now only two so the odds change.

If you secretly asked someone else to make the same choice at the same time as me, and they just happened to pick option 2 your argument would mean you would have to tell me that option 2 was twice as likely and them that option 1 was twice as likely to be correct. That can't be true, we both have the same chance.

Posted By: mr carra, Nov 2, 17:30:22