The lifted index measures atmospheric instability (derived from CAPE convective available potential energy in joules per kg) and goes like this:
6 or Greater, Very Stable Conditions
Between 1 and 6 : Stable Conditions, Thunderstorms Not Likely
Between 0 and -2 : Slightly Unstable, Thunderstorms Possible, With Lifting Mechanism (i.e., cold front, daytime heating, ...)
Between -2 and -6 : Unstable, Thunderstorms Likely, Some Severe With Lifting Mechanism
Less Than -6: Very Unstable, Severe Thunderstorms Likely With Lifting Mechanism
And we potentially have this:
User Posted Link
It's quite hard to see the outline of the UK, but those -8,-9, and -10's are over the Southeast and East Anglia. It's too far out to have any certainty and it will change a lot between now and then, but that is Tornado/Supercell territory.
Posted By: yarmyyarmy, Jul 16, 14:08:00
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