Scenario madness

Say we only get a draw versus WBA to take us to 39points, then looking at goal difference I think we will need a minimum of one of the following unlikely results elsewhere to keep us safe:

Stoke beat Sunderland away,
Swansea beat Wigan away
Villa beat Wigan away
or
QPR beat Newcastle at home

Which is the most likely? If none happen, then only a win on Sat can save us. That shows the incredible result of failing to keep the point vs Villa which would have altered things massively.

I think a hugely possible scenario is that we and Newcastle both draw next weekend, leaving us one goal ahead going into last day, in a "who loses by less" shoot-out against Arsenal and Man City. Terrifying.

I think Wigan will get 4points from Swansea and Villa at home and pip us on GD.

We really need one of the 4 results listed higher to happen (clearly a win for us renders this moot!)

Posted By: canary_don, May 6, 12:56:20