That was a prediction you muppet

You were only arguing with someone this week that predictions aren’t what you bet on, and that it’s all about the price and value 🙈

I doubt anyone predicted we’d get promoted when we were 40/1 but at the same time were we really around a 2% chance when Coventry were priced up at 11/1 having got the same number of points from the same number of games? Not for me Clive

And as you correctly stated, you bet accordingly when you think something has a higher chance of happening than the odds given. No idea why you’re taking a totally different line now tbh! 🤷‍♂️

Posted By: SCC 28 on May 8th 2024 at 18:45:08

Message Thread

Updated % chances of promotion (NCFC) - SCC 28, May 8, 13:58:35
- I'm sticking with Wagners 25% chance (n/m) (NCFC) - BSE Canary, May 8, 15:42:33
  - TBF Wagner also said we were underdogs to Leeds.... (NCFC) - usacanary, May 8, 18:20:41
    - Wagner out (NCFC) - SCC 28, May 8, 18:31:57
  - Exactly this.... its basically a clean Start for all 4 teams (NCFC) - ParrotPuncher, May 8, 16:06:50
    - If you really believe this to be true then...... (NCFC) - usacanary, May 8, 16:14:03
      - We’ve got a chance, that’s all that matters (NCFC) - jamesward, May 8, 16:30:39
        
        Yes we have a chance , just not 25% (n/m) (NCFC) - usacanary, May 8, 18:18:04
        
        Well of course we have (NCFC) - SCC 28, May 8, 18:07:28
        
        Not really sure why the blubbing tbh (NCFC) - SCC 28, May 8, 18:12:42
        
        100% (NCFC) - norwaay, May 8, 17:37:43
        
        Also be nice to land a 40/1 shot if we go up (NCFC) - SCC 28, May 8, 18:10:08
        
        Huh, you said Wagner would only get 10 points from the final 10 games.... (NCFC) - usacanary, May 8, 18:34:04
        
        That was a prediction you muppet (NCFC) - SCC 28, May 8, 18:45:08
        
        Just an example if you’re still struggling (NCFC) - SCC 28, May 8, 18:50:23
        
        Just admit that Saints 38 Leeds 37 was bollocks and we can all move on (NCFC) - usacanary, May 8, 18:53:24
        
        Bless (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, May 8, 18:59:57
        
        Pwned again..... sorry I called out your bollocks.... (NCFC) - usacanary, May 8, 19:01:39
        
        Jesus I agree with you (NCFC) - ParrotPuncher, May 8, 16:44:47
- From the betting markets im getting the rough numbers of (NCFC) - usacanary, May 8, 15:33:16
  - Well you’d be wrong then (NCFC) - SCC 28, May 8, 18:24:24
  - pretty much nailed the prediction 3 days ago. (NCFC) - usacanary, May 8, 15:43:43
- That dooesnt jive with the betting markets. (NCFC) - usacanary, May 8, 15:17:03
  - Slight move on Leeds since (NCFC) - SCC 28, May 8, 17:58:36
    - almost 101% there Mikey (n/m) (NCFC) - usacanary, May 8, 18:27:07
      - Exactly! (NCFC) - SCC 28, May 8, 18:38:11
        
        So saints 38 Leeds 37 was bollocks then.....glad we cleared that up. (NCFC) - usacanary, May 8, 18:51:12
        
        No it was correct then (NCFC) - SCC 28, May 8, 18:56:48
        
        A no time were saints a 1% fav over Leeds in any market.... (NCFC) - usacanary, May 8, 18:59:53
        
        Not 100% sure - might have been close on Sunday (NCFC) - SCC 28, May 8, 19:03:21
      - amd what di I predict.... a move on Leeds.... yet you had 38 saints vs 37 Leeds (NCFC) - usacanary, May 8, 18:30:54
- FFS, stuck on 13! (n/m) (NCFC) - JD3, May 8, 14:34:05
  - We are closer to 15 FWIW (n/m) (NCFC) - usacanary, May 8, 15:34:12
    - How? (NCFC) - SCC 28, May 8, 18:04:56
- That's fair, West Brom are shit (n/m) (NCFC) - BarclayBazzin, May 8, 14:02:28

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