With it being tight distribution is important.
Obviously on away games to get 5 points ..
5 draws is superior to 1W 2D 2L with points totals being tight.
The interesting thing is of the remaining 9 games only the Preston game looks to have any significance both ways on who makes the playoffs.
Beating them could potentially be huge in eliminating them at that time.(If they aren't already out of it)
As for points distributions.
I did the analysis 4 games ago and it really hasn't changed much.
User Posted Link
75 points has a high chance of getting in with 78 being almost a lock.
73 has a below average chance and 69-70 points being less than 1% in a distribution curve.
Posted By: usacanary on March 14th 2024 at 12:30:05
Message Thread
- We’re averaging just under 1 point per game on season away form (NCFC) - jamesward, Mar 14, 10:32:32
- With it being tight distribution is important. (NCFC) - usacanary, Mar 14, 12:30:05
- You missed this a few days ago pal (NCFC) - Knitted Jesus, Mar 14, 15:08:06
- ^^^^^ Frothy Jelly Haterz (NCFC) - usacanary, Mar 14, 20:08:56
- Haha, math not up to it? (NCFC) - Knitted Jesus, Mar 14, 22:27:33
- I love making my jelly Haterz froth... (NCFC) - usacanary, Mar 14, 22:33:48
- Haha, math not up to it? (NCFC) - Knitted Jesus, Mar 14, 22:27:33
- ^^^^^ Frothy Jelly Haterz (NCFC) - usacanary, Mar 14, 20:08:56
- Ultimately all depends if one of the teams goes on a crazy run (NCFC) - jamesward, Mar 14, 12:45:15
- You missed this a few days ago pal (NCFC) - Knitted Jesus, Mar 14, 15:08:06
- % chance of the top 6 now? (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Mar 14, 11:29:03
- With it being tight distribution is important. (NCFC) - usacanary, Mar 14, 12:30:05
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