Hang on I f**ked that right up. ( USAC doesnt make mistakes...I do.)

should be

Home Win -380 (76%) (2.28)
Away Win +1100 (7.97%) (0)
Draw +500 (16.03%) (0.1603)

So if we played the game one million times (God Forbid)
we would average roughly 2.44 points per game.
Clearly way above our seasonal average of 1.53 PPG

Posted By: usacanary on March 8th 2024 at 18:03:23

Message Thread

The math(s) and probability of betting lines. (Betting) - usacanary, Mar 8, 17:43:35
- plus you need to adjust for the lucky underwear factor (Betting) - Chris Peacock, Mar 8, 19:48:12
- Influence of negative input from the 20% on team performance? (n/m) (Betting) - MonkeyPuzzle, Mar 8, 18:46:49
- Hang on I fucked that right up. ( USAC doesnt make mistakes...I do.) (Betting) - usacanary, Mar 8, 18:03:23
- I think the markets overstate our chances (Betting) - SCC 28, Mar 8, 17:56:33
  - We can bet on this if you like..... (Betting) - usacanary, Mar 8, 17:58:30
    - I think 13 is probably par (n/m) (Betting) - SCC 28, Mar 8, 18:02:55
      - I would still take 13 and over at evens for a lot of money! (n/m) (Betting) - usacanary, Mar 8, 18:05:13
        
        Would be 14 and over (n/m) (Betting) - SCC 28, Mar 8, 18:08:51
        
        You will be up to 20 points soon at this rate.... (n/m) (Betting) - usacanary, Mar 8, 18:09:51
        
        Once we go 6th tomorrow (Betting) - SCC 28, Mar 8, 18:12:13
- And FWIW... (Betting) - usacanary, Mar 8, 17:55:01
  - 6 points would be shit (Betting) - SCC 28, Mar 8, 18:00:25
    - its around 15% better than predicted. (Betting) - usacanary, Mar 8, 18:09:16

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