ah, the great myth about our tough fixtures

the tough part of the season is not when you play the big teams AWAY from home, it is when you are playing them at home. If you are playing them away, as we generally have been, it means you probably have a winnable home game before and/or after.
When you play them at home however it means unless you can win an away game you are looking a winless streak straight in the face.
Check out our fixtures from April 9 to May 5 as an example, which include home games against Liverpool and Manchester City. Without a winnable home game it means that unless we can win away at Blackburn (possible but certainly not easy or likely) it looks very much like a five game winless streak heading our way at the business end of the season.
The fixtures have been very kind to us so far, and the points we have accumulated are probably towards the lower end of what would be required at this stage to stay up (but they are certainly in the range so our survival chances are surely no worse than 50-50).

Posted By: mr carra on December 5th 2011 at 13:54:15

Message Thread

Exactly how well are we doing? (NCFC) - norway, Dec 5, 13:08:51
- I think the most pleasing stat is that 15 of our 16 pts have come (NCFC) - mr chimp, Dec 5, 15:38:34
  - indeed (NCFC) - SCC 28, Dec 5, 15:43:49
- We're 11th out of 20 after 14 games. (n/m) (NCFC) - Ken Dodds Dads Dog, Dec 5, 13:27:21
  - problem is our run in - we need to stay well ahead of points per game throughout the (NCFC) - PrahaCanary, Dec 5, 14:21:51
    - True enough, but then you can't predicted what other fixtures those big teams will have (NCFC) - N1fty5iftyCity, Dec 5, 14:23:41
      - of course - it could go either way (NCFC) - PrahaCanary, Dec 5, 14:24:37
- But.... (NCFC) - Barclay_Steve, Dec 5, 13:15:47
  - ah, the great myth about our tough fixtures (NCFC) - mr carra, Dec 5, 13:54:15
    - more potential for points tho (NCFC) - SCC 28, Dec 5, 14:01:06
      - there is not more potential for points (NCFC) - PrahaCanary, Dec 5, 14:04:35
        
        of course there is more potential for points (NCFC) - SCC 28, Dec 5, 14:09:45
        
        and 4 of the bottom 6 to come at home (NCFC) - SCC 28, Dec 5, 14:12:49
        
        and we're the same odds to beat newcastle as we were sunderland (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Dec 5, 14:17:52
        
        really, strange (NCFC) - Worzel Scrimmage, Dec 5, 14:31:07
        
        thing is we're more highly rated now (NCFC) - SCC 28, Dec 5, 14:38:11
        
        yep true, and no one could've predicted sunderland would be so shit (NCFC) - Worzel Scrimmage, Dec 5, 14:44:21
  - Even if they had, they couldn't have taken much less from those games than we did. (n/m) (NCFC) - tudders, Dec 5, 13:34:10
  - Not sure if that's the point though (NCFC) - norway, Dec 5, 13:25:05
- Are you usac in disguise ?! ;-) (n/m) (NCFC) - Steve in Holland, Dec 5, 13:11:12
  - Perhaps I am! Here's my final league table prediction - tilterz gotta tilt etc (NCFC) - norway, Dec 5, 13:36:26
    - I think that's abput right. (n/m) (NCFC) - megson, Dec 5, 14:07:47
    - At least you've put some thought into it. (n/m) (NCFC) - tudders, Dec 5, 13:42:41
  - He's got a point. If we maintain this form we'll get 43 points. I'd take that. (NCFC) - megson, Dec 5, 13:16:37
    - At The Risk Of Stating The Obvious... (NCFC) - Martin Peters, Dec 5, 13:32:41
      - absolutely, anyone from 8th to 20th could easily be sucked in (n/m) (NCFC) - phrankin, Dec 5, 14:18:49
    - We have to improve in form over the next few games. That run in is terrifying (n/m) (NCFC) - Steve in Holland, Dec 5, 13:24:12
- I think it's a poorer league than previous years (NCFC) - Duck, Dec 5, 13:10:35
  - I think the poorer teams are consistently poor (NCFC) - norway, Dec 5, 13:14:26

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