Prediction Table of Tilt and USAcanary computer predictions.
Prediction 1
Arizona Bay will post "thanks"
SCC will have a Brighton Benny Bitchcake Boombox
and a few others will be mildly annoyed/tilted.
I will post...."1st" and "f**k im good"....... and the world will keep turning.
Prediction 2
Table of tilt
west ham 47
Fulham 45
SCCouthampton 44
Norwich 42
Stoke 41
Newcastle 41
Sunderland 41
Aston Villa 38
wigan 35
Reading 27
QPR 27
computer predictions based on strength of schedule
west ham 45.9
Fulham 44.2
SCCouthampton 42.8
Norwich 41.9
Sunderland 41.2
Stoke 41
Newcastle 40.9
Aston Villa 38.6
wigan 35
Reading 27.7
QPR 27.5
Obviously the numbers are pretty close with 36 points needed to stay up.
SOS computer generated results are far more accurate than TOT towards the end of the season.
As an example if Norwich get to 41 points before the Man City game they will have averaged 1.1 points per game.
The TOT would suggest we would get 1.1 points on average from that game.
Thats not close to being in the real world.
Man City have given up 6 points in 16 games at home for an average of 0.375 points per game.
Even adjusting for the fact they may have nothing to play for (we might not either ) it won't be close to 0.5 points per game on average.
I have it around 0.4 points.
Posted By: usacanary on April 22nd 2013 at 00:45:41
Message Thread
- Prediction Table of Tilt and USAcanary computer predictions. (NCFC) - usacanary, Apr 22, 00:45:41
- I don't understand it, (NCFC) - I Am Hoot, Apr 22, 02:04:03
- A linear extrapolation of actuarial assumptions. (NCFC) - tudders, Apr 22, 05:32:03
- More or less how most bookies set betting odds. (NCFC) - usacanary, Apr 22, 14:50:07
- ah ok. (n/m) (NCFC) - I Am Hoot, Apr 22, 08:02:20
- and what do points mean? (n/m) (NCFC) - StraightOuttaBacton, Apr 22, 06:38:49
- Prizes! (n/m) (NCFC) - Chris Peacock, Apr 22, 07:42:11
- Good game....... Good game........ (n/m) (NCFC) - usacanary, Apr 22, 14:50:29
- Prizes! (n/m) (NCFC) - Chris Peacock, Apr 22, 07:42:11
- Points per game multiplied by a factor of tilt. (n/m) (NCFC) - Chris Peacock, Apr 22, 02:15:32
- A linear extrapolation of actuarial assumptions. (NCFC) - tudders, Apr 22, 05:32:03
- I don't understand it, (NCFC) - I Am Hoot, Apr 22, 02:04:03
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